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Presupunem ca jucati impotriva a trei adversari si
initial
ati primit 2♦
3♠ 4♥ 5♥ 5♣.
Programul afiseaza sub mana dvs.: You hold one
pair and an open-ended straight (Detineti o pereche si o chinta
fara capete).
Sunt afisate de asemenea urmatoarele sugestii si
probabilitati:
1) You may keep the pair and discard the rest,
playing for:
- two pair (probability: 15.985%, odds: 7.75 : 1) or
- three of a kind (probability: 11.433%, odds: 7.75 :
1) or
- full house (probability: 1.017%%, odds: 97.33 : 1) or
- four of a kind (probability: 0.246%, odds: 405.50 :
1).
The probability of succeeding is 28.683% (2.49 : 1
odds).
2) You may keep the four straight cards and discard
the card left, playing for straight. The probability of succeeding
is 17.021% (4.88 : 1 odds).
Simultan, sunt afisate urmatoarele tabele cu probabilitati:
One opponent holding:
Formation
|
Probability
|
Odds
|
|
higher
pair
|
35.994%
|
1.78
: 1
|
|
two
pair
|
4.804%
|
19.82
: 1
|
|
three
of a kind
|
2.156%
|
45.38
: 1
|
|
straight
|
0.439%
|
226.72
: 1
|
|
flush
|
0.185%
|
539.50
: 1
|
|
full
house
|
0.148%
|
674.45
: 1
|
|
four
of a kind
|
0.025%
|
3962.67
: 1
|
|
straight
flush
|
0.002%
|
61356.56
: 1
|
|
a
higher formation than yours
|
43.750%
|
1.29
: 1
|
Acestea sunt probabilitatile ca un anumit adversar sa detina
formatiile listate, la acel moment al jocului.
At least one opponent holding:
Formation
|
Probability
|
Odds
|
|
higher
pair
|
73.778%
|
0.36
: 1
|
|
two
pair
|
13.729%
|
6.28
: 1
|
|
three
of a kind
|
6.330%
|
14.80
: 1
|
|
straight
|
1.312%
|
75.24
: 1
|
|
flush
|
0.554%
|
179.50
: 1
|
|
full
house
|
0.443%
|
224.48:
1
|
|
four
of a kind
|
0.076%
|
1320.55
: 1
|
|
straight
flush
|
0.005%
|
20451.84
: 1
|
|
a
higher formation than yours
|
82.202%
|
0.22
: 1
|
Acestea
sunt probabilitatile ca cel putin unul din cei trei adversari sa
detina formatiile listate, la acel moment al jocului.
Acum presupunem ca ignorati ambele sugestii – pastrati 4♥
5♥ 5♣ si decartati 2♦ 3♠. Primiti noile
carti 4♣ J♠. Mana dvs. este acum:
4♣ 4♥ 5♥ 5♣ J♠.
Programul afiseaza sub mana dvs.: You hold two
pair. Simultan, tabelele cu probabilitati sunt afisate din nou,
cu datele actualizate:
One opponent holding:
Formation
|
Probability
|
Odds
|
|
higher
two pair
|
4.781%
|
19.92
: 1
|
|
three
of a kind
|
2.207%
|
44.32
: 1
|
|
straight
|
0.437%
|
227.62
: 1
|
|
flush
|
0.178%
|
559.95
: 1
|
|
full
house
|
0.153%
|
654.45
: 1
|
|
four
of a kind
|
0.027%
|
3723.87
: 1
|
|
straight
flush
|
0.002%
|
58178.00
: 1
|
|
a
higher formation than yours
|
7.781%
|
11.85
: 1
|
Acestea
sunt probabilitatile ca un anumit adversar sa detina formatiile
listate, la acest nou moment al jocului.
At least one opponent holding:
Formation
|
Probability
|
Odds
|
|
higher
two pair
|
13.688%
|
6.32
: 1
|
|
three
of a kind
|
6.475%
|
14.44
: 1
|
|
straight
|
1.306%
|
75.54
: 1
|
|
flush
|
0.534%
|
186.32
: 1
|
|
full
house
|
0.457%
|
217.82:
1
|
|
four
of a kind
|
0.081%
|
1240.96
: 1
|
|
straight
flush
|
0.005%
|
19392.32
: 1
|
|
a
higher formation than yours
|
21.573%
|
3.64
: 1
|
Acestea sunt probabilitatile ca cel putin unul din cei trei
adversari sa detina formatiile listate, la acest nou moment al
jocului.
Puteti folosi probabilitatile de mai sus pentru a lua decizii in
privinta decartarii si a gestionarii dialogului de pariere, pentru a
evalua potentialul mainii dvs. fata de adversari sau pentru a estima
sansele ca un adversar sa joace la cacealma (bluff).
Si toate aceste cifre reprezinta probabilitati
matematice
reale, returnate de formule precise si nu de simulari partiale!
Inapoi
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