Exemplu

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   Presupunem ca jucati impotriva a trei adversari si initial ati primit  2♦ 3♠ 4♥ 5♥ 5♣.
   Programul afiseaza sub mana dvs.: You hold one pair and an open-ended straight (Detineti o pereche si o chinta fara capete).
   Sunt afisate de asemenea urmatoarele sugestii si probabilitati: 

   1) You may keep the pair and discard the rest, playing for:
   - two pair (probability: 15.985%, odds: 7.75 : 1) or
   - three of a kind (probability: 11.433%, odds: 7.75 : 1) or
   - full house (probability: 1.017%%, odds: 97.33 : 1) or
   - four of a kind (probability: 0.246%, odds: 405.50 : 1).
   The probability of succeeding is 28.683% (2.49 : 1 odds). 

   2) You may keep the four straight cards and discard the card left, playing for straight. The probability of succeeding is 17.021% (4.88 : 1 odds). 

   Simultan, sunt afisate urmatoarele tabele cu probabilitati: 

   One opponent holding: 

Formation

Probability

Odds

higher pair

35.994%

1.78 : 1

two pair

4.804%

19.82 : 1

three of a kind

2.156%

45.38 : 1

straight

0.439%

226.72 : 1

flush

0.185%

539.50 : 1

full house

0.148%

674.45 : 1

four of a kind

0.025%

3962.67 : 1

straight flush

0.002%

61356.56 : 1

a higher formation than yours

43.750%

1.29 : 1

   Acestea sunt probabilitatile ca un anumit adversar sa detina formatiile listate, la acel moment al jocului.

   At least one opponent holding: 

Formation

Probability

Odds

higher pair

73.778%

0.36 : 1

two pair

13.729%

6.28 : 1

three of a kind

6.330%

14.80 : 1

straight

1.312%

75.24 : 1

flush

0.554%

179.50 : 1

full house

0.443%

224.48: 1

four of a kind

0.076%

1320.55 : 1

straight flush

0.005%

20451.84 : 1

a higher formation than yours

82.202%

0.22 : 1

    Acestea sunt probabilitatile ca cel putin unul din cei trei adversari sa detina formatiile listate, la acel moment al jocului.

    Acum presupunem ca ignorati ambele sugestii pastrati 4♥ 5♥ 5♣ si decartati 2♦ 3♠. Primiti noile carti 4♣ J♠. Mana dvs. este acum:  4♣ 4♥ 5♥ 5♣ J♠.
    Programul afiseaza sub mana dvs.: You hold two pair. Simultan, tabelele cu probabilitati sunt afisate din nou, cu datele actualizate:

    One opponent holding: 

Formation

Probability

Odds

higher two pair

4.781%

19.92 : 1

three of a kind

2.207%

44.32 : 1

straight

0.437%

227.62 : 1

flush

0.178%

559.95 : 1

full house

0.153%

654.45 : 1

four of a kind

0.027%

3723.87 : 1

straight flush

0.002%

58178.00 : 1

a higher formation than yours

7.781%

11.85 : 1

    Acestea sunt probabilitatile ca un anumit adversar sa detina formatiile listate, la acest nou moment al jocului.

    At least one opponent holding: 

Formation

Probability

Odds

higher two pair

13.688%

6.32 : 1

three of a kind

6.475%

14.44 : 1

straight

1.306%

75.54 : 1

flush

0.534%

186.32 : 1

full house

0.457%

217.82: 1

four of a kind

0.081%

1240.96 : 1

straight flush

0.005%

19392.32 : 1

a higher formation than yours

21.573%

3.64 : 1

   Acestea sunt probabilitatile ca cel putin unul din cei trei adversari sa detina formatiile listate, la acest nou moment al jocului.  

   Puteti folosi probabilitatile de mai sus pentru a lua decizii in privinta decartarii si a gestionarii dialogului de pariere, pentru a evalua potentialul mainii dvs. fata de adversari sau pentru a estima sansele ca un adversar sa joace la cacealma (bluff).
   Si toate aceste cifre reprezinta probabilitati
matematice reale, returnate de formule precise si nu de simulari partiale!

      Inapoi    

 

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